; Last change: 2005 UTC Title: SPC Valid Mesoscale Discussions Refresh: 10 Font: 1, 11, 1, "Courier New" IconFile: 1, 50, 20, 25, 10, "http://grlevel3.tornadocentral.com/moretext.png" Color: 232 232 175 Line: 3, 0, "MCD #0195 - Valid until 2045 UTC\n DISCUSSION: THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 32 CONTINUES. EMBEDDED STRONGER UPDRAFTS PERSIST WITHIN BROADER PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS ERN TN. THIS ACTIVITY HAS LONGEVITY FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING AND APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTED IN THE LARGER SCALE ALONG SERN FLANK OF VORT LOBE ROTATING INTO OH VALLEY. FARTHER NORTH...STRONG/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS ARE ALSO OBSERVED ALONG LEADING EDGE OF THICKER C" 35.01, -84.67 36.99, -83.94 38.8, -85.35 39.03, -84.68 37.59, -83.01 35.81, -83.23 35.01, -84.67 35.01, -84.67 End: Object: 34.91, -84.67 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0195 Cont.: LOUDS/PRECIPITATION FROM EXTREME SERN IND INTO NCNTRL KY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY ACTUALLY EXPAND/DEVELOP SEWD ACROSS KY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY BUOYANT AIRMASS...PER SFC-3KM LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT GREATER THAN 7 C/KM. HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS REMAIN THE GREATEST THREATS." End: Color: 232 232 175 Line: 3, 0, "MCD #0194 - Valid until 2000 UTC\n DISCUSSION: SCATTERED STORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STALLING ACROSS NRN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. N OF THIS BOUNDARY...A RELATIVELY STABLE SURFACE AIR MASS EXISTS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S F. THE 17Z MFL SOUNDING S OF THE BOUNDARY INDICATES SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY WITH MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF 25" 26.72, -81.26 26.91, -79.87 25.77, -79.98 25.24, -80.22 25.11, -81.15 25.35, -82.53 26.05, -81.74 26.72, -81.26 26.72, -81.26 End: Object: 26.62, -81.26 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0194 Cont.: 00 J/KG. ALSO IN PLACE ARE VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS WITH THE UPPER JET CORE APPROACHING. RADAR TRENDS AS OF 1745Z SHOW SOME ORGANIZATION WITH STORMS OVER THE ERN GULF AND NOW APPROACHING CNTRL S FL. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE ALONG AND S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHERE STEEPER LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXIST. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD OCCU" End: Object: 26.52, -81.26 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0194 Cont.: R AS WELL ESPECIALLY IF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLOW AND MIX OUT...RESULTING IN A LARGER AREA OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH THE MOST UNSTABLE AIR MASS." End: