; Last change: 1320 UTC Title: SPC Valid Mesoscale Discussions Refresh: 10 Font: 1, 11, 1, "Courier New" IconFile: 1, 50, 20, 25, 10, "http://grlevel3.tornadocentral.com/moretext.png" Color: 232 232 175 Line: 3, 0, "MCD #0200 - Valid until 1315 UTC\n DISCUSSION: PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA THIS MORNING WITH LOCAL RATES APPROACHING 0.05-0.10 INCH/HR. 08Z MESOANALYSIS INDICATED PRIMARY SURFACE LOW REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY SE OF BVX WITH ATTENDANT WARM OR STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING NEWD FROM THIS FEATURE THROUGH THE MO BOOTHEEL INTO FAR SRN IL. SURFACE FREEZING LINE STRETCHED FROM NW OF TBN TO S OF SGF TO J" 36.57, -94.51 37.23, -94.58 37.73, -94.02 37.73, -93.31 37.4, -92.76 36.71, -93.07 36.35, -93.62 36.27, -94.11 36.57, -94.51 36.57, -94.51 End: Object: 36.47, -94.51 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0200 Cont.: UST N OF FSM. DEEP-TROPOSPHERIC FORCING FOR ASCENT TO THE N OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE COUPLED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7.5 C/KM ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A WRAP-AROUND PRECIPITATION SHIELD WHICH REMAINS CONVECTIVE IN CHARACTER... EXTENDING FROM E-CNTRL AR NEWD THROUGH NWRN AR AND SWRN MO. OBSERVED HOURLY PRECIPITATION RATES WITHIN THIS BAND ARE GENERALLY 0.05-0.10 INCH. RECENT SURFACE" End: Object: 36.37, -94.51 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0200 Cont.: OBSERVATION AT SGF INDICATES A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW FROM FREEZING RAIN. HOWEVER...LATEST SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT CONTINUED WAA ABOVE 0.5-1.0 KM SUBFREEZING LAYER WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN AGAIN BECOMING THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE BY 12Z. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MID/LATE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS TO ABOVE FREEZING." End: Object: 36.27, -94.51 Threshold: 999 Icon: 0,0,000,1,1,"MCD 0200 Cont.: G." End: